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Дата изменения: Thu Jun 23 20:42:05 2005 Дата индексирования: Tue Oct 2 04:59:31 2012 Кодировка: Поисковые слова: universe |
Is there
Intelligent Life in the Universe?
We can write down a statistical equation to estimate the number of civilizations which currently exist in our Galaxy .
This equation has three parts:
Remember, we seem to be part of this Process Our choice now is which divergent path do we choose? - the long term one or the short term one?
So, here is the equation:
Remember, that if you want the final answer to be 1 then you have to identify which term is unique (that is, it only happened here). Here are my estimates which are then explained below:
For the lifetime I adopt the following argument:
Implications of the above argument: