Документ взят из кэша поисковой машины. Адрес оригинального документа : http://www.izmiran.rssi.ru/services/saf/archive/en/2011/obzor20110620.en.txt Дата изменения: Mon Jun 20 17:14:04 2011 Дата индексирования: Sun Apr 10 00:43:02 2016 Кодировка: koi8-r Поисковые слова: comet

SOLAR SUNSPOT ACTIVITY OF THE SUN OF THE LAST PERIOD AGAIN HAS RISEN
TO THE AVERAGE LEVEL. SETTLEMENT, RATING, WEEKLY AVERAGE OF SUNSPOT
NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE PERIOD HAS MADE W=036+4/-26.
ON THE VISIBLE DISK OF THE SUN IT WAS OBSERVED FROM ONE (13.06) TO 3
SUNSPOT GROUPS.

NEXT WEEK A LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED LOW AND BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD THE AVERAGE. THE MOST LIKELY THE CALCULATED WEEKLY AVERAGE
VALUE OF SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT PERIOD
W=040+10/-10.

FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL ON JUNE, 14th WHEN IN SUNSPOT
GROUP OF THE AVERAGE SIZE NEAR EAST LIMB THERE WAS FLARE OF X-RAY CLASS
М1.3/SF, AND ON A LOW LEVEL IN OTHER DAYS. SOHO CORONOGRAPH FOR THE
PERIOD ARE REGISTRED 32 CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS FROM THEM 2 TYPES "PARTIAL
HALO II" (TO 180 deg.) 13.06 And III (TO 270 deg.) 14.06.

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to tm te location Class Е(1-8A) АR Radio II/IV CME Pr
X-ray оp J/m-2
14.06 2136 2147 >2210 N15E47L174 M12.3/SF 1.8E-2
to te location l в град. Fl AО CME
DSF 14/0609 1500 SE CME/pH/750km/s
DSF 16/ 1426 S23W335L250 10 CME/1612 UT
DSF 17/>0841 2157 S15W17L286
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NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON LOW AND AVERAGE LEVELS.

ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK FOR LAST WEEK WERE OBSERVED NEXT CORONAL HOLES:
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sign N end Е end S end W end EE R Observatories
СН - S05L154 S27L145 S31L149 S15L170 23.06 2 KP, SDO, SOHO.....
R - solar rotations; KP - KITT PEAK solar observatory;
EE - date of possible geomagnetic disturbation in the Earth's environment.
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WITH 11.06/14 UT THE EARTH WAS IN + SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC
FIELD. THE FOLLOWING SECTOR BOOUNDERY + /- THE EARTH SHOULD PASS ON 22.06.

JUNE 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 JUNE
Wus 016 048 048 062 065 067 047
F10.7 087 099 102 103 104 099 099
Хbcg B2.6 B2.4 B2.2 B3.0 B2.9 B2.3 В2.0 GOES
Sp 020 230 450 450 360 350 270
Nnew 1 1 1 1
IMF - - - - - - - /+ ACE
е>2 1.0Е+7 1.5Е+7 2.8Е+7 3.1E+7 1.5Е+7 6.9Е+6 5.5Е+6 GOES
Nm% THULE
Ap 9 7 8 4 12 4 3 Ар
Dst KIOTO
Amsc 11 9 10 8 11 8 9 IZMIRAN
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THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS NOT
OBSERVED.

NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT HIGH LEVEL IS
NOT EXPECTED.

GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS WERE UNSETTLED ALL PERIOD. FROM EJECTION OF SOLAR
FILAMENT 14.06 IN THE ENVIRONEMENT SPACE SUDDEN IMPULSE SI-17/0244 UT WAS
OBSERVED, HOWEVER ON THE CONDITION OF THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IT PRACTICALLY
WASN'T REFLECTED.

NEXT WEEK ON JUNE, 23RD THE EARTH WILL PASS THE HIGH-SPEED STREAM OF THE
SOLAR WIND FROM CORONAL HOLE OF THE SOLAR SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE WHICH IN THE
PREVIOUS TURN HAS CAUSED THE SMALL MAGNETIC STORM. PROBABILITY OF THE
MAGNETIC STORM 23-24.06 ORDER OF 40 %. IN OTHER DAYS IT IS MOST PROBABLE
QUIET AND UNSETTLED GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS.