Документ взят из кэша поисковой машины. Адрес оригинального документа : http://www.izmiran.rssi.ru/services/saf/archive/en/2014/obzor20140127.en.txt Дата изменения: Mon Jan 27 12:05:03 2014 Дата индексирования: Sun Apr 10 00:48:23 2016 Кодировка: koi8-r Поисковые слова: solar rotation

Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
Highlights on 20 - 26.01.2014,
Forecast on 27.01 - 03.02.2014,
Carrington Rotation 2146 (15.39.01.2014)

SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY OF THE SUN REMAINED AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL
AND ONLY 24.01 NOTED THE HIGH LEVEL. WEEKLY, THE AVERAGE OF SUN-
SPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM WAS MADE W = 077+13/-12. ON
THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK CONSTANTLY OBSERVED 7-10 SMALL QUITE SUNSPOT
GROUPS.

NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED THE AVERAGE AND THE HIGH LEVEL OF SUNSPOT-FOR-
MING ACTIVITY. ESTIMATED MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF RELATI-
VE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS
EXPECTED W=070+20/-20.

FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT THE LOW LEVEL IN ALL DAYS. DURING THE REPORT-
ING PERIOD WERE 2 EJECTA OF SOLAR FILAMENT, NON GEOEFFCTIVE. BY SOHO
AND STEREO CORONOGRAPHS DATA THERE WERE OBSERVED 40 CME FROM WHICH 2
WERE "PARTIAL HALO III" TYPE AND 4 - "PARTIAL HALO II".
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FLARES to tm te c/p local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME
X / opt. J/m-2
DSF to te c/p local. l in deg. Fl AR CME
20.01 >1027 <2249 S46E58L223 19
24.01 0147 0214 S11E54L232 12
c/p local. - central part localization
--------------------------------------------------------------------

NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT THE LOW AND
AVERAGE LEVELS.

ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED:
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sign N end е end S end W end EE R G Observatories
СH - N50L2274 N45L264 N18L324 N30L325 21.01 3 SDO, SOHO....
R - solar rotations; KP - KIT PEAK solar observatory;
EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment.
G - geoeffectivity in last solar rotation/
---------------------------------------------------------------------

AFTER 18.01/1830 UT THE EARTH IS IN "+" SECTOR OF INTERPLANETARY MAG-
NETIC FIELDS. 11.01 SIGN OF INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC FIELD VARIES. THE
FOLLOWING SECTORAL BOUNDARY + /- THE EARTH SHOULD PASS 06.02.

JANUARY 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 JANUARY
Wus 131 141 144 121 150 102 109
F10.7 137 146 143 136 136 133 138
Хbcg В4.6 В5.0 В4.8 В3.6 В3.8 - B7.9 GOES
Sp 850 820 670 560 680 520 460 mvh
N 2 2 1 1
IMF + + + + + + + АСЕ
е>2 1.1Е+7 2.9Е+6 1.6Е+6 2.5Е+6 4.3Е+6 - 1.5E+6 GOES
Ie>2 pfu GOES
Ap 2 8 10 6 5 5 6 nT Ар
Dst nT KИOTO
Amsc 5 10 11 8 7 11 11 nT ИЗМИРАН
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е>2 - a fluency in (electrons/cm2-day-sr) with E>2 MeV.
Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of a flux of electrons in geostationary
orbits in days according to GOES 15 in (electrons/cm2-s-sr) for events
> 1000 p.f.u.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH
LEVEL NOT OBSERVED.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH
LEVEL NOT EXPECTED.

GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION VARIES FROM UNSETTLED TO QUITE.

NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS AS A WHOLE ARE EXPECTED UNSETTLED
AND QUIET.

HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA
OF NOAA SWPC http://www.sec.noaa.gov,
OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER -
SIDC, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3,
OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru