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Issue ? 42. February 2014

On Natural Disasters, Their Predictability and Crisis Management Culture

Galina M. Agayan, Alexandr A. Grigoryan, Evgeniy V. Shikin, Guzel E. Shikina

Galina M. Agayan — PhD in mathematics; Assistant Professor, Department of Mathematical Methods and Information Technologies in Administration, School of Public Administration, Lomonosov Moscow State University. 
E-mail: Agayan@spa.msu.ru

Alexandr A. Grigoryan — PhD in philosophy; Assistant Professor, Department of Mathematical Methods and Information Technologies in Administration, School of Public Administration, Lomonosov Moscow State University.
E-mail: Grigoryan@spa.msu.ru

Evgeniy V. Shikin — PhD in mathematics; Professor, Head of the Department of Mathematical Methods and Information Technologies in Administration, School of Public Administration, Lomonosov Moscow State University.
E-mail: Shikin@spa.msu.ru

Guzel E. Shikina — PhD in mathematics; Assistant Professor, Department of Financial Management, School of Public Administration, Lomonosov Moscow State University.
E-mail: guzel.shikina@mail.ru

The article discusses the possibilities of countering the destructive natural disasters on the basis of the comprehension of the experience of man’s relationship with nature’s hostile manifestations. The article also examines the main characteristics of the anti-crisis management culture, the formation of which will allow the society to better withstand natural disasters and reduce their negative effects on human society.

Keywords

Сrisis, natural disaster, weak signals, crisis management culture.

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